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GUEST COMMENT: Fighting the redundancy virus
16 Jul 2008
The credit crunch is like a large sneeze that’s showered even the most robust members of the financial services community with a contagious virus, producing subsequent sneezes and sniffles. After the first big sneeze last summer, the contagion is still spreading: individuals are being laid off across the City and the retail sector is being impacted as well. Many could be infected. What can you do to protect yourself?

As medics will tell you, antibiotics don’t work on viruses. However, you can take steps in the workplace to minimise the effects or even ward off redundancy.

Firstly, you need to conduct a thorough examination of your current firm to determine the likelihood and extent of potential headcount cuts. Ultimately, cutting costs in financial services means letting people go. Don’t just accept the platitudes offered by senior management – sometimes they don’t know the full effects of the current crisis.

Practically, you should:

• Follow the press and online news services closely – often rumours precede reality. • Check out your firm’s latest results – sometimes there will be indicators from the last 12 months trading to start alarm bells ringing. • Find out how well your division/department/team is really doing? If you are in a support role check out the performance of the business that you are directly supporting.

Next, take a look at competitor organisations. This has two main benefits – first, you can see trends across your business sector that are likely to affect your firm; but also, you can identify those more successful firms that might be able to offer you a role if you are axed.

In particular, look at:

• Competitors’ track records for redundancies in the last year. • How they’ve been performing relative to the sector. • Whether the management team is intact or the CEO has changed recently – understanding the dynamics of the senior management team will give a good indicator of the future.

Finally, formulate a contingency plan in case you do get the chop. The most difficult situation is uncertainty. If you plan for the worst eventuality you will be able to move forward again quickly if it happens.

Key issues to evaluate are:

• The likely size of your redundancy package and the amount of time it will buy you. • Whether you are likely to have the option to get some outplacement support – it really can make a big difference. • Where there are likely to be openings for someone with your skills and experience. • Whether you have enough savings/resources to move out of the City and pursue a different role. Is this a great opportunity to do something completely different?

In the final analysis, it’s highly unlikely that you will get much advance warning of impending redundancy. However, if you start making plans now your recovery from the virus will be a lot quicker.

Andrew Pullman is a former head of capital markets HR at a European bank. He now runs the City HR consultancy, People Risk Solutions Ltd.

Related Articles:
Guest comment: To hire or not to hire – that is the question for 2008!
Redundancy – it isn’t your fault, honestly
Were Bear Stearns bankers quite good after all?
Reader Comments
Date: 16 Jul 2008
Name/Email: Wizard of EC1 ()
Company:
Interesting, but I disagree that outplacement agencies offer that much. Aside from "it may be uncomfortable for you ..... but get networking" type of advice, outplacement services offers very little apart from making your former boss and HR feel a little less guilty. The avalance of redundancies is the result of one dimensional leadership at the top, City leaders simply can't think about alternative solutions to any crisis other than to fizz people. They just can't think outside the box they have made for themselves. What we really need is a change of senior management culture.

Date: 16 Jul 2008
Name/Email: John ()
Company:
Many hundreds of thousands of people are just desk jockeys. The UK isn't interested in training people, preferring instead to take educated foreigners or locals on relatively low wages. Those with no talent are the first to go. The rout has started....

Date: 16 Jul 2008
Name/Email: No Name ()
Company:
Agree with Wizard, this crisis is all due to a wrong senior management culture at top level of top financial firms. The FED, by saving these companies, is saving the bad culture that they represents... I think the worst is still to come in terms of job cuts, and the 2009 will probably be the worst year... I also expect that LEH, MER and maybe Bank of America and JPM (because has acquired BS) will go banckrupt by the end of 2009

Date: 16 Jul 2008
Name/Email: Henry ()
Company:
Only inferior people get made redundant. Period. If you're good enough you'll be kept. Period.

Date: 16 Jul 2008
Name/Email: John ()
Company:
People who don't get made redundant seem to think they're 'good enough' and everybody's just rubbish. Interesting.

Date: 16 Jul 2008
Name/Email: Arsene ()
Company:
Henry, you dont need to end every sentence by "Period", and it doesn't make your points more valid. Regarding your comments, its clear you don't know much on how to run a company. People get redundant for 2 reasons: (1) Your among the worst performers in your team or (2) the role you have in the company is no longer needed, or can not be afforded any more. So when you consider some of the best traders and quants being made redundant, it is not because they are "inferior", it is because they are too expensive for the firm to keep hold of them. In fact, many of them have Phd's and many of them on 6 figure salaries. I don't know what you do, and frankly I don't really care, but it's quite clear that you are not employed in any position of power within your company. Just be careful when you make generalisations.

Date: 16 Jul 2008
Name/Email: Henry ()
Company:
John - and people who get made redundant blame everyone else except themselves. Interesting. Arsene - yes, when roles are no longer needed there are headcount reductions. HOWEVER, if you are good you will not be fired from the bank. Every time we've had redundancies, the top talent just gets redeployed onto a different desk. A firm would be idiotic to get rid of a rising star, someone with future managerial potential, one of the best talents they have, just because their role is no longer needed. Its easy to move people to different sectors, regions, products etc. So if someone's good, they'll can a poor performer on a different team where there's no/less headcount reductions to accommodate for them.

Date: 16 Jul 2008
Name/Email: Anon ()
Company:
Henry, Take the example of UBS who are making redundancies in the region of 5,000 employees. Are you suggesting that UBS is capable of moving all its top performers?

Date: 16 Jul 2008
Name/Email: Trefor ()
Company:
Only a relatively small number of staff members actually generate revenue. IT and HR, for example, don't make money. They usually get let go because the business is trimming costs and not investing in things like new technology. I've worked in FX and there have been some absolutely useless people but because FX isn't as sensitive to massive losses like equities, they are basically invisible. In the case of UBS, there are probably many good people in that 5000 the entire department is just no longer of use, maybe related to the mortgage industry. This macho 'you got canned coz you're no good', period just doesn't wash, especially when we're dealing with such large numbers in the finance industry. The losses in the building and retail sectors take place for the same reasons...

Date: 17 Jul 2008
Name/Email: Henry ()
Company:
Anon, why not? 5k is a minority percentage of UBS' staff, its easy to just fire 5k weak people based on results, and if there's gaps in desks you redeploy people. UBS is a perfect case in point, everyone I know who's been made redundant from there have been completely inept cretins, whereas people who were on problematic credit desks, but were high calibre, have just been moved desk.

Date: 17 Jul 2008
Name/Email: Intrigued (but not that much) ()
Company:
Hi Henry, Out of curiosity, what's your theory on unfair dismissal? For example, are you suggesting that women of child rearing age have the same chances of promotion as their male peers with the same performance record? I think most bankers know it is not a level playing field, based purely on personal merit.

Date: 17 Jul 2008
Name/Email: Anon ()
Company:
Henry, I always have a good laugh reading your comments. Have you thought of writing a book? Good fall back position if you get the chop! :-)

Date: 17 Jul 2008
Name/Email: Henry ()
Company:
Intrigued, it depends. If the woman is single and has explicitly said they wouldn't want children because their career is of prominent importance to them, they'll be on pretty much level playing field for promotion. If there's a chance they could start rearing children then obviously not - the last thing you want is someone of an expensive senior position taking 3 months off which your company has to pay for, having morning sickness, being more tired etc. Some of the best senior people I know here, including my boss, are women - they are strong, powerful and motivated - and have all actively chosen not to have children to let their careers flourish.

Date: 17 Jul 2008
Name/Email: jonnybgood ()
Company:
outplacement firms are a waste of space, they tell you what you already know and don't tell you anything new. Just keep searching yourself, find a reputable headhunter, some of the smaller firms I feel are better, as they make it personal when trying to find someone a job as they will only work on a small mandate... so get some good heahunters on your case and keep networking...

Date: 17 Jul 2008
Name/Email: Tommy ()
Company:
5000 weak people? Must be one hell of a skills audit! When did UBS start this, 2002?

Date: 17 Jul 2008
Name/Email: Intrigued ()
Company:
Hi Henry, Thanks for your comments. The problem arises when employers make the assumption a woman of a certain age wants a family over a career, despite what she has expressed. This is a reality for many women in the city. Which is why it is dangerous to assume all people who are made redundant are poor performers. Banks get rid of people for many legitimate and many illegitimate reasons.

Date: 17 Jul 2008
Name/Email: John ()
Company:
Famous 'inferior' types: Bill Gates - founder of Microsoft and university dropout. Sir James Dyson - Inventor of the bagless vacuum cleaner who had to remortgage his house to get finance for his idea that made him untold millions. Walt Disney - Failed at his animation venture in the earlier years What they wouldn't have given for an office job in the financial district, eh?

Date: 18 Jul 2008
Name/Email: Henry ()
Company:
If women ran an investment bank... http://www.dailymail.co.uk/femail/article-1036107/Pictured-What-world-look-like-women-charge.html

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